January 15, 2011

Joba Chamberlain is not the answer for the Yankees’ rotation

And you’d be hard pressed to find a quality starter left on the market.

While the Yankees waited for Derek Jeter and Cliff Lee to make their decisions, the few quality starters available this offseason signed with other teams. Jeff Francis signed with the Royals yesterday, leaving Justin Duchscherer and Freddy Garcia as the next best candidates for the Yankees’ rotation. Neither of those two are very appealing. I think the Yankees are better off waiting for Brian Cashman to make a move midseason.

So where does this leave Joba Chamberlain? He lies deep in the Yankees’ bullpen, where he looks to regain his reputation as a dominant pitcher.

Scranton Yankees beat writer Donnie Collins looked into the Yankees’ April schedule and concluded this:
If Cashman, Joe Girardi and Larry Rothschild want to, they can conceivably start CC Sabathia seven times on full rest before the end of April thanks to the positioning of the off days. Phil Hughes and A.J. Burnett would get six starts. The fourth starter, presumably Ivan Nova, would get five and the fifth starter would have to fill in three times.
On top of that, as Collins says, now the Yankees’ bullpen is deep enough with Rafael Soriano that they could probably afford to let a middle reliever — like Joba — start the season in the minors to build his arm strength and work into a starting pitcher’s mentality.

The opportunity is there, but still, is it a smart move to mess around with Joba again? In a popular post on RAB, Mike Axisa argues there is no excuse for leaving Chamberlain in the bullpen.
Heck, Joba’s shoulder could be shredded for all I know. If it is, then they need to trade him as soon as possible and make it someone else’s problem.
If his arm really is shredded, which very well might be the case considering his dip in velocity since 2008, then what team is going to offer much in exchange for a damaged arm? That's why players take physicals.

Last season’s 4.40 ERA and 1.30 WHIP do not scream “I deserve a promotion” in my book. Plus, check out Joba’s starter-reliever career splits at the end of Collins’ article. He’s had more success in the bullpen than in the rotation.

The Yankees’ bullpen looks very sturdy with Soriano and Mariano Rivera at the end, but if the Yankees really think a deep bullpen can make up for a shallow rotation they are going to need one other reliever to step up. Joba could be that guy, therefore providing great value.

Or the Yankees could just trade Joba for a starter. Take your pick.

Comments (13)

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Yes, but what makes you think Joba could be successful as a starter? He couldn't even hold his own in the bullpen last year and his career splits indicate wildness as a starter.
Lenny, you make some interesting points regarding Joba...when I first heard of the move yesterday to obtain Soriano, my gut reaction was that Joba's days were numbered.

In light of the br***, apparently, over ruling Cash's hypothetical '11 model for both Houdini and Joba, as the set up men to Mo, it just confirmed my intuition.

Bleeding Yankee Blue had a great post on the matter, this morning:
http://tinyurl.com/4ahf4om

Basically, he is making the same points Rasheeda has above and I concur with her.

Don't get me wrong I have been on the Joba bandwagon since '07 and I always viewed him as a set up/relief pitcher and eventual successor to Mo, but with all the tinkering they have done to him, who knows at this stage.

On a brighter note, rumor mill is that Andy is beginning to work out down in Deer Park???
1 reply · active 747 weeks ago
Thanks for the comment, Carlos. Hopefully the Soriano signing will convince Pettitte this team could win another championship if he came back!
Absolutely. Maybe my perception of Joba is bad because of some of the starts I saw him make in 2009, but I just don't think he has a shot to be a good starter. To me, he has to show he can get through one inning easily before the Yankees trust him with six innings.
I just don't understand why we don't sign Kevin Millwood or someone else of that caliber.
Very true about Soriano opting out. His contract allows him to opt out and then ask for more money. He could very well be a one-year rental, in which case Joba possibly would be needed to back up Mo. Great point!
I think Joba will be traded no matter what. I have a gut feeling that he could be going within the next few weeks now that things have developed over the past week, we know cashman doesn't leak stories unless somethings about to happen. I know i wrote my "bold" theory of "trying out" joba for the starting role... i just wonder now if that will really happen. at this point, i say no.

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